Access Part I here: https://www.reddit.com/Forex/comments/h0iwbu/part_i_my_10_minuteday_trading_strategy/submitted by ParallaxFX to Forex [link] [comments]
Welcome to Part II of this ongoing series. How many parts will there be? No idea. At least 4-5, I guess. I'd rather have this broken down into digestible chunks than just fire hose you with information.
Part I was really just a primer. If I'm using the whole baking a cake analogy, then in Part I we covered what kind of cake we're baking. I will not cover in this post where we look for entries and exits, that's coming next. Part II is going to cover what ingredients we need and why we need those ingredients in greater detail.
What Kind Of Strategy Is This Again?It's my 10 minutes per day, trading strategy. I think the beauty of this strategy is that it allows you to take a good number of trader per week without having to commit an inordinate amount of time to the screens. This is both a mean reversion and trend-continuation based strategy. It is dead simple to learn and apply. I'd expect a 10 year old to be able to make money with this.
The List Of Ingredients & Why We Use These Particular Ingredients
*I will have an image at the end of the post showing a textbook long and short setup*
Bollinger Bands: Bollinger Bands (BB) have a base line (standard is the 20SMA, which is also what we will use for this strategy) and two other trend lines (known as the upper Bollinger band [UBB] and lower Bollinger band [LBB]) plotted 2 standard deviations away from the 20SMA. The idea behind BB is deviously simple - the vast majority of price action, approx. 90%, takes place in between the two bands. In other words, when price trades off the UBB or LBB, you could consider prices to be overbought/oversold. However, just because something is OVERbought does NOT mean its run is OVER. Therefore we need additional tools to make sure we are using the BB as effectively as possible. TLDR: BB help contextualize where to look for our technical setups using this strategy. Finding the candle/bar pattern is not enough. We need to make sure the setup is in the 'right' part of the chart. We accomplish that using the BB.
Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator (Stochs) is a secondary momentum indicator. Because it is an oscillator that means the signals it generates are range-bound between 0 and 100. There are tons of momentum indicators out there. Theoretically you could swap out the Stochs for RSI or MACD. My hunch is that you won't see a measurable statistical difference in performance if you do. So why Stochs? Because I like the fact you have the %K and %D lines (you can think of them as moving averages) and the fact that the %K and %D lines crossover is a helpful visual aid. Like any other momentum indicator, the Stochs will generate overbought and oversold signals. We use the Stochs to help back up what the BB are telling us. If price is trading at, or even broken out of, the UBB and Stochs are also veeeery overbought that can be potentially useful information. It doesn't mean we have a trade necessarily, but it is a helpful piece of data.
Fibonacci Retracement & Extension Tool: This tool is OPTIONAL. The only reason I use this tool for this strategy is to integrate a mechanistic means of entry and exit. In other words, we can use fibonacci levels to place limit orders for entry and profit taking, and a stop order to get us out for our pre-defined risk allocation to each particular trade. If you DON'T want to use the fibs, that is perfectly okay. It just means you will add a more discretionary layer to this strategy
Candlestick/Bar Patterns: There isn't a whole lot to say here. We look for ONE formation over, and over, and over again. An indecision bar (small body, doesn't close on its highs or lows) followed by the setup bar which is an outside bar or an engulfing bar. It doesn't particularly matter if the setup bar is an engulfing bar or outside bar. What matters is that for a long trade the setup bar makes a HIGHER HIGH and has a HIGHER CLOSE relative to the indecision bar. The opposite for a short trade setup. The bar formation is what ultimately serves as the trigger for placing orders to take a trade.
*MOVING ON* Now We Get Into The Setup Itself:There are 3 places where we look for trades using this strategy:
There will be other nuances I will cover in terms of how to make the strategy more effective in Part 3. For example, I will go into much more detail about how the shape of the BB can tell us a lot about whether a currency pair is likely to reverse or not. I will also cover how to gauge the strength of the setup candle and a few other tips and tricks.
Technical Nuances: You can overlay a lot of other traditional technical analysis on top of the above. For example you can look for short trades off the UBB in conjunction with a prior broken support level that you now expect to be working overhead resistance. If you want to go further and deeper, of course you can. Note: the above is about as far as I went when overlaying other kinds of analysis onto this strategy. I like to keep it simple, stupid.
TEXTBOOK LONG TRADE OFF LBB:
TEXTBOOK SHORT TRADE OFF UBB:
TRADE OFF MBB:
And that's a wrap for Part II.
Developed by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, Bollinger Bands (BBs) are a technical trading tool traders use to measure pricing volatility. Vast numbers of equity, forex, and futures traders routinely employ their functionality in countless strategies. If identifying market state and dynamic pricing volatility is important to you, then ... G'day When placing an order using OANDA, whats the upper and lower bound fields used for? check the attachment which is a screenshot of when placing an order. Ive only been using market buy/sell orders, with a stop loss. and then modifying that order as time goes on. starting to look... Forex Charts FAQ: How to Read the Candlestick Chart in Forex Trading; Candlestick charts are Open-High-Low-Close charts which are extremely popular in Forex trading. A candlestick chart consists of candlesticks, which are formed by a solid body and upper and lower wicks. GBP/CAD Hits the Upper Bound of a Range and Slides ANALYSIS 2/20/2019 12:32:04 PM GBP/CAD traded lower today, after it hit resistance near the 1.7285 hurdle yesterday. The triangle’s upper bound is a downward slopping trend line, and the lower bound is upward sloping trend line. The two trend lines are opposing. Both trend lines must have the similar (or close) angle. The price must touch each trend line at least twice and the area within the triangle must be covered with the price action. The upper and lower projection bands provide reference points that enable you to measure whether the market is at the extreme high, low or somewhere in between relative to the extremes for the last 14 days. This indicator is calculated according to the next formula: Lower Projection Band = PLC i = MIN (C i,j ), for j = i-n+1 to i Trading the Bullish and Bearish Rectangles Chart Patterns. The bullish and bearish rectangle chart patterns are identical in regards to the trading approach with the bullish and bearish flags. The main difference being that in the case of bullish and bearish rectangles, price consolidates tightly within an upper and lower bound horizontal range.When looked at in isolation, the rectangles ... lower bound, upper bound, stop loss, take profit, or duration values. 4. Click Submit. (Modifying an Order—Details .) Change Graph Type 1. Locate the three pull-down menus above the graph. 2. Click the third one. 3. Select the graph type you want. Note: To change which values are shown on the graph—ask price, bid price, and so on—click on Bollinger bands are used in forex charts to calculate the upper and lower bands for a particular currency exchange rate, which help to visualize the average volatility of a foreign currency over a period of time. Bollinger bands consist of three graphic lines in a forex chart: the middle band is a generally representative of a simple moving average of the currency exchange rate, and serves as ... Pros and Cons of Trading Range Bound Forex Pairs. Forex price ranges can be tricky to trade; there are some advantages and disadvantages in trading ranges. Below we will discuss some pros and cons of the Range Bound currency trading. Pros for Trading Ranges. Clearly Stated Levels For Trading Inner Swings – When you have a range on the chart, you have a clearly stated high and low of a ...
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